Bull and Bear Strength measure relative directional pressure
LevelBeacon displays Bull Strength and Bear Strength as a normalized pair that totals 100%. If Bull is 62%, Bear will be 38%. The numbers are designed to summarize directional pressure in the current chart context.
Strength is not a win probability
A Bull reading of 65% does not mean a long trade has a 65% chance of winning. Likewise, Bear 70% does not mean a short trade has a 70% expected win rate. Strength is a live context score; trade outcomes still depend on entry location, volatility, stop placement, target, execution, spread and what happens after the signal.
This is one of the most important LevelBeacon rules. Use the percentage to compare directional pressure—not to calculate expected profit or position size.
What contributes to Strength
The production Strength engine combines several categories of information: multi-timeframe trend strength, recent momentum, structural role, historical context and valid relative-volume confirmation when usable volume exists. The exact internal weighting is part of the indicator logic; the trader-facing point is that Strength is multi-factor, not simply a renamed moving-average cross.
How volume is used
Volume is a secondary confirmation, not the main driver. LevelBeacon compares current volume with a recent average and only uses positive relative-volume confirmation when valid data is available. If the feed does not provide usable volume, that contribution is zero.
On spot forex and many CFD feeds, “volume” may be broker/tick volume rather than centralized exchange volume. That is another reason not to over-weight it mentally.
How to interpret the percentages
| Reading | Practical interpretation | What not to assume |
|---|---|---|
| 50–54% | Small directional separation. Context is close to balanced. | Do not force a directional trade from the percentage alone. |
| 55–59% | Some directional separation. The Opportunity condition uses an unrounded 55% minimum, together with its other requirements. | 55% is not an automatic entry threshold. |
| 60–64% | Clearer directional separation. | Still check location and relevant MTF context. |
| 65%+ | Strong separation in the measured context. | High Strength far from the level can simply describe an already-extended move. |
The ranges above are interpretation bands, not independently validated win-rate bands. Their purpose is to stop traders treating every 1% change as meaningful.
Location matters more than chasing a big number
Compare two hypothetical charts: Bull 59% while price is testing clean support with relevant timeframes aligned, versus Bull 82% after price has already expanded far above the active level. The second number is larger, but the first situation may offer a cleaner place to evaluate risk because the structural location is better.
This is why the intended workflow begins with the active level, not the percentage.
Strength updates on confirmed chart closes
The displayed Strength is updated from confirmed chart information. Higher-timeframe inputs are also synchronized to completed higher-timeframe candles so ordinary realtime chart closes do not consume unfinished higher-timeframe context. This can make some components appear unchanged between closes; that behavior is intentional.
Why Strength can disagree with BULL ACTIVE or BEAR ACTIVE
Strength is live context. The ACTIVE state is a latched record of a previously confirmed strict setup. Once a setup becomes active, changing Strength alone does not instantly cancel it. Read the States guide before assuming a temporary percentage shift means the setup state is “wrong.”
When the readings are close or disagree
If Bull and Bear are close to 50/50, the score provides little separation. Wait for clearer context or skip the idea; a one-point lead is not a reason to force a direction.
If Bull Strength leads but the relevant trend dots are mostly red, read that as conflicting information. Strength combines several inputs, while each dot compares two moving averages. Neither replaces the other. Recheck the level, wait for a completed candle and apply your defined confirmation rule.
The displayed value is rounded to one decimal place. A displayed 55.0% can sit on either side of the unrounded alert threshold, so do not diagnose an alert from a screenshot of that number alone.